Pokémon pack prices and chase odds: every English set, 1999–2026
Pack prices, exact-card odds, and a comparison for your budget.
Updated October 9, 2026 · English physical releases through October 3, 2026 · CollectAIO Research
Chance for your budget: packs versus singles
Compare a pack budget with the single’s dated guide value. Each percentage is the estimated chance of the exact named card. Pack prices are market snapshots, not retail recommendations or a measure of profit. Enter the price you can actually pay below each pack; it applies to every target using that exact pack variant.
Open the detailed odds calculator · Browse all 150 releases
Showing 12 of 51 exact targets and pack variants, ordered by modeled chance with $100.00. Order updates when you finish editing a price.
| Exact chase / pack | Your budget buys | Chance at this card | Raw single value guide |
|---|---|---|---|
Your budget buys 9 whole packs · $98.37 $1.63 unspent · $10.93 per pack Guide: $10.93 · TCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Pack price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps last checked 2026-10-07. | Chance of this exact card ~4.32% 2.23%–6.38% sensitivity Sample and assumptionsMore than 3,000 English packs. Published specific-card estimate assumes equal population within this rarity; it is not a separate observed count for every named card. RGB Rare Mew: none observed in the sample; its chance remains unquantified. | Raw single value guide $111.00eBay sold guide · 2026-09-16 Single value evidenceOlder price evidence. Sold comps last checked 2026-09-16. | |
Your budget buys 9 whole packs · $98.37 $1.63 unspent · $10.93 per pack Guide: $10.93 · TCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Pack price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps last checked 2026-10-07. | Chance of this exact card ~4.32% 2.23%–6.38% sensitivity Sample and assumptionsMore than 3,000 English packs. Published specific-card estimate assumes equal population within this rarity; it is not a separate observed count for every named card. RGB Rare Mew: none observed in the sample; its chance remains unquantified. | Raw single value guide $140.99eBay sold guide · 2026-10-07 Single value evidenceOlder price evidence. Sold comps last checked 2026-10-09. | |
Your budget buys 9 whole packs · $98.37 $1.63 unspent · $10.93 per pack Guide: $10.93 · TCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Pack price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps last checked 2026-10-07. | Chance of this exact card ~4.32% 2.23%–6.38% sensitivity Sample and assumptionsMore than 3,000 English packs. Published specific-card estimate assumes equal population within this rarity; it is not a separate observed count for every named card. RGB Rare Mew: none observed in the sample; its chance remains unquantified. | Raw single value guide $467.67eBay sold guide · 2026-09-15 Single value evidenceOlder price evidence. Sold comps last checked 2026-09-16. | |
Your budget buys 18 whole packs · $99.90 $0.10 unspent · $5.55 per pack Guide: $5.55 · TCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Pack price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps last checked 2026-10-07. | Chance of this exact card ~3.71% 1.25%–6.12% sensitivity Sample and assumptionsMore than 4,000 English packs. Published specific-card estimate assumes equal population within this rarity; it is not a separate observed count for every named card. | Raw single value guide $285.00eBay sold guide · Source date unavailable Single value evidenceGuide updated 2026-11-07; underlying price source date unavailable. Sold comps last checked 2026-08-02. | |
Your budget buys 7 whole packs · $88.48 $11.52 unspent · $12.64 per pack Guide: $12.64 · TCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Pack price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps last checked 2026-10-06. | Chance of this exact card ~3.58% 2.56%–4.60% sensitivity Sample and assumptionsMore than 8,000 English packs. Published specific-card estimate assumes equal population within this rarity; it is not a separate observed count for every named card. | Raw single value guide $95.41eBay sold guide · 2026-10-18 Single value evidenceOlder price evidence. Sold comps last checked 2026-10-19. | |
Your budget buys 7 whole packs · $88.48 $11.52 unspent · $12.64 per pack Guide: $12.64 · TCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Pack price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps last checked 2026-10-06. | Chance of this exact card ~3.58% 2.56%–4.60% sensitivity Sample and assumptionsMore than 8,000 English packs. Published specific-card estimate assumes equal population within this rarity; it is not a separate observed count for every named card. | Raw single value guide $6.07TCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Single value evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | |
Your budget buys 7 whole packs · $88.48 $11.52 unspent · $12.64 per pack Guide: $12.64 · TCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Pack price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps last checked 2026-10-06. | Chance of this exact card ~3.58% 2.56%–4.60% sensitivity Sample and assumptionsMore than 8,000 English packs. Published specific-card estimate assumes equal population within this rarity; it is not a separate observed count for every named card. | Raw single value guide $15.06TCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Single value evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | |
Your budget buys 17 whole packs · $98.09 $1.91 unspent · $5.77 per pack Guide: $5.77 · TCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Pack price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps last checked 2026-10-07. | Chance of this exact card ~3.51% 1.02%–5.95% sensitivity Sample and assumptionsMore than 3,500 English packs. Published specific-card estimate assumes equal population within this rarity; it is not a separate observed count for every named card. | Raw single value guide $39.74TCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Single value evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | |
Your budget buys 11 whole packs · $97.24 $2.76 unspent · $8.84 per pack Guide: $8.84 · TCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Pack price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Chance of this exact card ~3.36% 2.07%–4.63% sensitivity Sample and assumptionsMore than 8,000 English packs. Published specific-card estimate assumes equal population within this rarity; it is not a separate observed count for every named card. | Raw single value guide $60.05TCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Single value evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | |
Your budget buys 11 whole packs · $97.24 $2.76 unspent · $8.84 per pack Guide: $8.84 · TCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Pack price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Chance of this exact card ~3.36% 2.07%–4.63% sensitivity Sample and assumptionsMore than 8,000 English packs. Published specific-card estimate assumes equal population within this rarity; it is not a separate observed count for every named card. | Raw single value guide $18.30TCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Single value evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | |
Your budget buys 11 whole packs · $97.24 $2.76 unspent · $8.84 per pack Guide: $8.84 · TCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Pack price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Chance of this exact card ~3.36% 2.07%–4.63% sensitivity Sample and assumptionsMore than 8,000 English packs. Published specific-card estimate assumes equal population within this rarity; it is not a separate observed count for every named card. | Raw single value guide $17.08TCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Single value evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | |
Your budget buys 17 whole packs · $98.77 $1.23 unspent · $5.81 per pack Guide: $5.81 · TCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Pack price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps last checked 2026-10-07. | Chance of this exact card ~3.35% 1.85%–4.82% sensitivity Sample and assumptionsMore than 8,500 English packs. Published specific-card estimate assumes equal population within this rarity; it is not a separate observed count for every named card. | Raw single value guide $290.48eBay sold guide · 2026-10-08 Single value evidenceOlder price evidence. Sold comps last checked 2026-10-10. |
Selected cards with sourced odds; these are not necessarily the most valuable cards in each set. RGB Rare Mew’s odds for 30th Celebration remain unquantified.
Whole packs are counted within your budget, rounded to cents. Chance = 1 − (1 − p)packs, assuming independent eligible packs and constant odds. Rankings use point estimates; overlapping uncertainty can change the order. Only priced packs compatible with the linked card’s printing are ranked. Single values are dated catalog guides, not available purchase offers; check condition and availability on the item page. Sold guides may include reported shipping. Your price should include any per-pack shipping you pay. Checkout taxes and extra order fees are not separately added. No profit or full-pack expected-value calculation is implied.
Download the saved $100 guide-price comparison (CSV; excludes your edits)English Pokémon pack directory
129 expansions and special sets, plus 21 promotional releases. Each named chase has an image, an exact raw-card link, and a sourced estimate. Pack prices follow current catalog guides and show their evidence dates. Check the priced pack’s exact edition.
150 of 150 releases · English · Catalog identities checked: October 7, 2026 · Odds reviewed: October 5, 2026
Chase images show representative card artwork. The linked raw variant specifies the edition and foil finish; stock scans may show another printing.
| Pack / release | Exact pack price snapshot | Specific chase odds |
|---|---|---|
Market pack price $10.93 30th Celebration PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps last checked 2026-10-07. | Odds for each named card ~0.49% per pack About 1 in 205 · each named target
Published 95% interval: ±0.24 percentage points Sample and assumptionsMore than 3,000 English packs. Published specific-card estimate assumes equal population within this rarity; it is not a separate observed count for every named card. RGB Rare Mew: none observed in the sample; its chance remains unquantified. | |
Market pack price $5.55 ME05: Pitch Black Pitch Black Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps last checked 2026-10-07. | Odds for each named card ~0.21% per pack About 1 in 480 · each named target Opening study · sourcePublished 95% interval: ±0.14 percentage points Sample and assumptionsMore than 4,000 English packs. Published specific-card estimate assumes equal population within this rarity; it is not a separate observed count for every named card. | |
Market pack price $5.81 ME04: Chaos Rising Chaos Rising Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps last checked 2026-10-07. | Odds for each named card ~0.20% per pack About 1 in 496 · each named target Opening study · sourcePublished 95% interval: ±0.09 percentage points Sample and assumptionsMore than 8,500 English packs. Published specific-card estimate assumes equal population within this rarity; it is not a separate observed count for every named card. | |
Market pack price $5.77 ME03: Perfect Order Perfect Order Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps last checked 2026-10-07. | Odds for each named card ~0.21% per pack About 1 in 487 · each named target Opening study · sourcePublished 95% interval: ±0.15 percentage points Sample and assumptionsMore than 3,500 English packs. Published specific-card estimate assumes equal population within this rarity; it is not a separate observed count for every named card. | |
Market pack price $10.45 ME: Ascended Heroes Ascended Heroes Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps last checked 2026-10-07. | Odds for each named card ~0.07% per pack About 1 in 1,533 · each named target
Published 95% interval: ±0.11 percentage points Sample and assumptionsMore than 2,000 English packs. Published specific-card estimate assumes equal population within this rarity; it is not a separate observed count for every named card. | |
Market pack price $11.83 ME02: Phantasmal Flames Phantasmal Flames Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps last checked 2026-10-07. | Odds for each named card ~0.25% per pack About 1 in 400 · each named target Opening study · sourcePublished 95% interval: ±0.14 percentage points Sample and assumptionsMore than 5,000 English packs. Published specific-card estimate assumes equal population within this rarity; it is not a separate observed count for every named card. | |
Market pack price $9.51 ME01: Mega Evolution Mega Evolution Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps last checked 2026-10-07. | Odds for each named card ~0.10% per pack About 1 in 1,008 · each named target Opening study · sourcePublished 95% interval: ±0.09 percentage points Sample and assumptionsMore than 5,000 English packs. Published specific-card estimate assumes equal population within this rarity; it is not a separate observed count for every named card. | |
Market pack price $13.33 SV: White Flare White Flare Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps last checked 2026-10-07. | Odds for each named card ~0.18% per pack About 1 in 560 · each named target Pooled model · sourceSample and assumptionsMore than 350 English packs. TCGplayer pooled 350+ Black Bolt and 350+ White Flare packs. We divide the pooled 1.25% SIR rate by the seven SIRs eligible in this set, assuming both sets share that rate. This is a conditional model, not a measured set-specific rate. BWR: none observed; no numeric rate established. | |
Market pack price $13.75 SV: Black Bolt Black Bolt Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps last checked 2026-10-07. | Odds for each named card ~0.18% per pack About 1 in 560 · each named target Pooled model · sourceSample and assumptionsMore than 350 English packs. TCGplayer pooled 350+ Black Bolt and 350+ White Flare packs. We divide the pooled 1.25% SIR rate by the seven SIRs eligible in this set, assuming both sets share that rate. This is a conditional model, not a measured set-specific rate. BWR: none observed; no numeric rate established. | |
Market pack price $8.41 SV10: Destined Rivals Destined Rivals Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps last checked 2026-10-07. | Odds for each named card ~0.10% per pack About 1 in 1,033 · each named target
Published 95% interval: ±0.07 percentage points Sample and assumptionsMore than 8,000 English packs. Published specific-card estimate assumes equal population within this rarity; it is not a separate observed count for every named card. | |
Market pack price $6.22 SV09: Journey Together Journey Together Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps last checked 2026-10-07. | Odds for each named card ~0.19% per pack About 1 in 518 · each named target
Published 95% interval: ±0.09 percentage points Sample and assumptionsMore than 8,000 English packs. Published specific-card estimate assumes equal population within this rarity; it is not a separate observed count for every named card. | |
Market pack price $13.52 SV: Prismatic Evolutions Prismatic Evolutions Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps last checked 2026-10-18. | Odds for each named card ~0.07% per pack About 1 in 1,440 · each named target
Published 95% interval: ±0.15 percentage points Sample and assumptionsMore than 1,200 English packs. Published specific-card estimate assumes equal population within this rarity; it is not a separate observed count for every named card. Source includes multi-SIR demigod packs; its rarity count is not identical to the probability of a pack containing any SIR. The small sample produces an interval wider than the estimate. | |
Market pack price $8.85 McDonald's Dragon Discovery Pack (2024 collection)TCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps last checked 2026-10-07. | Odds for each named card Unknown · exact regional distribution and comparable opening evidence not verified | |
Market pack price $8.70 SV08: Surging Sparks Surging Sparks Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps last checked 2026-10-07. | Odds for each named card ~0.10% per pack About 1 in 960 · each named target
Published 95% interval: ±0.07 percentage points Sample and assumptionsMore than 8,000 English packs. Published specific-card estimate assumes equal population within this rarity; it is not a separate observed count for every named card. | |
Market pack price $10.70 SV07: Stellar Crown Stellar Crown Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps last checked 2026-10-07. | Odds for each named card ~0.19% per pack About 1 in 540 · each named target
Published 95% interval: ±0.09 percentage points Sample and assumptionsMore than 8,000 English packs. Published specific-card estimate assumes equal population within this rarity; it is not a separate observed count for every named card. | |
Market pack price $12.53 SV: Shrouded Fable Shrouded Fable Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps last checked 2026-10-08. | Odds for each named card ~0.31% per pack About 1 in 318 · each named target Opening model · sourceSample and assumptions2,354 English packs; breaker data collected by Mark van Zee. Original collector records 37 SIRs in 2,354 breaker packs. Divided across five eligible SIR cards assuming equal population; not a separate Cassiopeia count. Breaker selection and English product consistency are not independently audited; no per-card confidence interval. | |
Market pack price $9.26 SV06: Twilight Masquerade Twilight Masquerade Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.11% per pack About 1 in 941 · each named target
Published 95% interval: ±0.07 percentage points Sample and assumptionsMore than 8,000 English packs. Published specific-card estimate assumes equal population within this rarity; it is not a separate observed count for every named card. | |
Market pack price $10.54 SV05: Temporal Forces Temporal Forces Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.12% per pack About 1 in 855 · each named target
Published 95% interval: ±0.07 percentage points Sample and assumptionsMore than 8,000 English packs. Published specific-card estimate assumes equal population within this rarity; it is not a separate observed count for every named card. | |
Market pack price $24.20 SV: Paldean Fates Paldean Fates Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.22% per pack About 1 in 465 · each named target
Published 95% interval: ±0.21 percentage points Sample and assumptionsMore than 1,500 English packs. Published specific-card estimate assumes equal population within this rarity; it is not a separate observed count for every named card. | |
Market pack price $8.72 SV04: Paradox Rift Paradox Rift Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.14% per pack About 1 in 712 · each named target
Published 95% interval: ±0.08 percentage points Sample and assumptionsMore than 8,000 English packs. Published specific-card estimate assumes equal population within this rarity; it is not a separate observed count for every named card. | |
Market pack price $26.49 SV: Scarlet & Violet 151 151 Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.44% per pack About 1 in 225 · each named target
Published 95% interval: ±0.31 percentage points Sample and assumptionsMore than 1,500 English packs. Published specific-card estimate assumes equal population within this rarity; it is not a separate observed count for every named card. | |
Market pack price $12.64 SV03: Obsidian Flames Obsidian Flames Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps last checked 2026-10-06. | Odds for each named card ~0.52% per pack About 1 in 192 · each named target
Published 95% interval: ±0.15 percentage points Sample and assumptionsMore than 8,000 English packs. Published specific-card estimate assumes equal population within this rarity; it is not a separate observed count for every named card. | |
Market pack price $7.20 McDonald's Promos 2023 McDonald's 2023 Match & Battle PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card Unknown · exact regional distribution and comparable opening evidence not verified | |
Market pack price $15.86 SV02: Paldea Evolved Paldea Evolved Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.21% per pack About 1 in 473 · each named target
Published 95% interval: ±0.10 percentage points Sample and assumptionsMore than 8,000 English packs. Published specific-card estimate assumes equal population within this rarity; it is not a separate observed count for every named card. | |
Market pack price $8.84 SV01: Scarlet & Violet Base Set Scarlet & Violet Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.31% per pack About 1 in 318 · each named target
Published 95% interval: ±0.12 percentage points Sample and assumptionsMore than 8,000 English packs. Published specific-card estimate assumes equal population within this rarity; it is not a separate observed count for every named card. | |
Market pack price $25.32 Crown Zenith Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.75% per pack About 1 in 133 · each named target Opening study · sourceSample and assumptionsMore than 1,900 English packs. Published per-card estimate; the source uses rarity-pool averages rather than a separate observed count for every named target. | |
Market pack price $15.01 SWSH12: Silver Tempest Silver Tempest Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.15% per pack About 1 in 674 · each named target
Sample and assumptionsMore than 8,000 English packs. Published per-card estimate; the source uses rarity-pool averages rather than a separate observed count for every named target. | |
Market pack price $16.93 SWSH11: Lost Origin Lost Origin Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.12% per pack About 1 in 804 · each named target
Sample and assumptionsMore than 8,000 English packs. Published per-card estimate; the source uses rarity-pool averages rather than a separate observed count for every named target. | |
Market pack price $8.65 McDonald's Promos 2022 McDonald's 2022 Match & Battle PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card Unknown · exact regional distribution and comparable opening evidence not verified | |
Market pack price $15.88 Pokemon GO Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.81% per pack About 1 in 124 · each named target Observed sample · sourceSample and assumptions371 English packs. Observed three rainbow Mewtwo VSTAR in 371 packs. Small mixed-product sample; no confidence interval supplied. Excludes gold and regular VSTAR versions. | |
Market pack price $10.55 SWSH10: Astral Radiance Astral Radiance Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps last checked 2026-10-23. | Odds for each named card ~0.12% per pack About 1 in 810 · each named target
Sample and assumptions8,000 English packs. Published per-card estimate; the source uses rarity-pool averages rather than a separate observed count for every named target. | |
Market pack price $14.61 SWSH09: Brilliant Stars Brilliant Stars Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.10% per pack About 1 in 1,004 · each named target Observed sample · sourceSample and assumptions1,004 English packs. Observed one copy of alternate-art Charizard V in 1,004 packs. Small sample; no confidence interval supplied. Other studies may produce different estimates. | |
Market pack price $19.19 SWSH08: Fusion Strike Fusion Strike Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.05% per pack About 1 in 2,160 · each named target Opening study · sourceSample and assumptionsMore than 4,000 English packs. TCGplayer’s November 12, 2021 chart reports Gengar VMAX specifically at 1 in 2,160. This differs from its pooled alternate-art VMAX rate; no confidence interval is supplied. | |
Market pack price $27.32 Celebrations Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.37% per pack About 1 in 271 · each named target Observed sample · sourceSample and assumptions541 English packs. Observed two gold Mew in 541 four-card Celebrations packs, compiled by DigitalTQ from its pulls and other sources. Small mixed-source sample; no confidence interval supplied. | |
Market pack price $42.84 SWSH07: Evolving Skies Evolving Skies Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.05% per pack About 1 in 1,994 · each named target
Published 95% interval: ±0.05 percentage points Sample and assumptionsMore than 8,000 English packs. Published specific-card estimate assumes equal population within this rarity; it is not a separate observed count for every named card. | |
Market pack price $11.97 SWSH06: Chilling Reign Chilling Reign Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.07% per pack About 1 in 1,362 · each named target Opening model · sourceSample and assumptions5,000 English packs; 90% booster boxes. Cardzard reports any alternate-art VMAX at 1 in 454. Divided across three eligible alt-art VMAX under equal population; not a separate Blaziken count. First release-wave sample. | |
Market pack price $9.77 SWSH05: Battle Styles Battle Styles Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.12% per pack About 1 in 803 · each named target Opening study · sourceSample and assumptions1,405 English packs. Cardzard published approximately 1 in 803 for this exact card. No published confidence interval; an estimate from a small initial-release sample. | |
Market pack price $18.27 Shining Fates Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps last checked 2026-10-23. | Odds for each named card ~0.37% per pack About 1 in 271 · each named target Opening study · sourceSample and assumptions1,087 English packs. Cardzard published approximately 1 in 271 for this exact card in its initial sample. No published confidence interval; first-wave results may differ from later print runs. | |
Market pack price $8.29 McDonald's 25th Anniversary Promos McDonald's 25th Anniversary Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card Unknown · exact regional distribution and comparable opening evidence not verified | |
Market pack price $10.17 SWSH04: Vivid Voltage Vivid Voltage Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.16% per pack About 1 in 630 · each named target Observed sample · sourceSample and assumptions630 English packs. One rainbow Pikachu VMAX recorded in 630 packs, compiled from DigitalTQ and third-party pulls. Small mixed-source sample; no published confidence interval. This is a sample frequency, not an established print-run probability. | |
Market pack price $20.04 Champion's Path Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.44% per pack About 1 in 228 · each named target Opening study · sourcePublished 95% interval: ±0.23 percentage points Sample and assumptions3,192 English packs. The source measures Shiny Charizard V as a one-card category. Published 95% interval ±0.23 percentage points. | |
Market pack price $10.33 SWSH03: Darkness Ablaze Darkness Ablaze Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.55% per pack About 1 in 182 · each named target Opening model · sourceSample and assumptions5,040 English packs. Measured regular VMAX rate 3.85%, divided across seven eligible VMAX cards under equal population; not a direct Charizard count. Category interval ±0.53 points is not a per-card confidence interval. | |
Market pack price $11.45 SWSH02: Rebel Clash Rebel Clash Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.17% per pack About 1 in 606 · each named target Opening model · sourceSample and assumptions2,736 English packs. Measured gold Pokémon rate 0.33%, divided across Frosmoth and Galarian Perrserker assuming equal population. Category interval ±0.21 points is not a per-card confidence interval. | |
Market pack price $12.25 SWSH01: Sword & Shield Base Set Sword & Shield Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.28–0.33% per pack About 1 in 300–360 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSheet-model range; not a confidence interval Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.055555556 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 5–6 copies / 100 sheet positions. The source cannot assign an exact sheet count to this card; the range covers its modeled class, not a confidence interval. Marnie full art only; the rainbow Marnie uses a different sheet. | |
Market pack price $72.23 SM - Cosmic Eclipse Cosmic Eclipse Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.83–0.91% per pack About 1 in 110–121 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSheet-model range; not a confidence interval Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.1 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 10–11 copies / 121 sheet positions. The source cannot assign an exact sheet count to this card; the range covers its modeled class, not a confidence interval. Character rare Pikachu comes from the special/reverse slot, not the rainbow GX class. | |
![]() McDonald's Collection 2019 2019-10 · Promotional McDonald's Collection Promo card shown; wrapper not pictured | Market pack price Individual card promotion; a comparable sealed booster pack is not verified. | Odds for each named card Unknown · exact regional distribution and comparable opening evidence not verified |
Market pack price $46.32 Hidden Fates Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.29% per pack About 1 in 343 · each named target Opening model · sourceSample and assumptions1,580 English packs. Measured Shiny GX category rate 10.19%, divided across 35 eligible Shiny GX cards under equal population. This is a derived per-card model, not a separate Charizard count. Category interval ±1.49 points is not a per-card confidence interval. | |
Market pack price $81.39 SM - Unified Minds Unified Minds Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.10% per pack About 1 in 1,000 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.033333333 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 3 copies / 100 sheet positions. | |
Market pack price $67.09 SM - Unbroken Bonds Unbroken Bonds Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.15–0.18% per pack About 1 in 545–655 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSheet-model range; not a confidence interval Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.030555556 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 5–6 copies / 100 sheet positions. The source cannot assign an exact sheet count to this card; the range covers its modeled class, not a confidence interval. | |
Market pack price $24.41 Detective Pikachu Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~9.92–10.74% per pack About 1 in 9–10 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSheet-model range; not a confidence interval Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 1 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 12–13 copies / 121 sheet positions. The source cannot assign an exact sheet count to this card; the range covers its modeled class, not a confidence interval. Four-card Detective Pikachu pack: three holo commons plus one holo rare, not a standard expansion pack. | |
Market pack price $326.85 SM - Team Up Team Up Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps last checked 2026-10-23. | Odds for each named card ~0.17–0.20% per pack About 1 in 500–571 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSheet-model range; not a confidence interval Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.025 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 7–8 copies / 100 sheet positions. The source cannot assign an exact sheet count to this card; the range covers its modeled class, not a confidence interval. Source models alternative artworks on the full-art Pokémon sheet; exact FP7/FP8 allocation is unresolved. | |
Market pack price $55.97 SM - Lost Thunder Lost Thunder Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.11% per pack About 1 in 923 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.036111111 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 3 copies / 100 sheet positions. | |
![]() McDonald's Collection 2018 2018-10 · Promotional McDonald's Collection Promo card shown; wrapper not pictured | Market pack price Individual card promotion; a comparable sealed booster pack is not verified. | Odds for each named card Unknown · exact regional distribution and comparable opening evidence not verified |
Market pack price $116.56 Dragon Majesty Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.53% per pack About 1 in 188 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.066666667 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 8 copies / 100 sheet positions. Source places the gold card with the other secret rares on the full-art Trainer/secret sheet; this is a model, not a direct per-card study. | |
Market pack price $71.94 SM - Celestial Storm Celestial Storm Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.12–0.16% per pack About 1 in 643–857 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSheet-model range; not a confidence interval Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.038888889 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 3–4 copies / 100 sheet positions. The source cannot assign an exact sheet count to this card; the range covers its modeled class, not a confidence interval. | |
Market pack price $51.12 SM - Forbidden Light Forbidden Light Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.13% per pack About 1 in 750 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.033333333 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 4 copies / 100 sheet positions. | |
Market pack price $51.94 SM - Ultra Prism Ultra Prism Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.22–0.27% per pack About 1 in 375–450 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSheet-model range; not a confidence interval Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.044444444 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 5–6 copies / 100 sheet positions. The source cannot assign an exact sheet count to this card; the range covers its modeled class, not a confidence interval. Lillie is one of nine full-art Trainers; exact FT5/FT6 allocation is unresolved. | |
Market pack price $19.07 SM - Crimson Invasion Crimson Invasion Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.17% per pack About 1 in 600 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.033333333 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 5 copies / 100 sheet positions. | |
Market pack price $112.95 Shining Legends Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.91% per pack About 1 in 110 · each named target Opening study · sourcePublished 95% interval: ±0.48 percentage points Sample and assumptions1,536 English packs. The source records the Tube Mewtwo category, which contains this one exact card. Published 95% interval ±0.48 percentage points. | |
Market pack price $30.88 SM - Burning Shadows Burning Shadows Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.11% per pack About 1 in 923 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.036111111 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 3 copies / 100 sheet positions. | |
![]() McDonald's Collection 2017 2017-08 · Promotional McDonald's Collection Promo card shown; wrapper not pictured | Market pack price Individual card promotion; a comparable sealed booster pack is not verified. | Odds for each named card Unknown · exact regional distribution and comparable opening evidence not verified |
Market pack price $38.73 SM - Guardians Rising Guardians Rising Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.10% per pack About 1 in 1,000 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.033333333 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 3 copies / 100 sheet positions. | |
Market pack price $22.16 SM Base Set Sun & Moon Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.19–0.23% per pack About 1 in 429–514 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSheet-model range; not a confidence interval Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.038888889 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 5–6 copies / 100 sheet positions. The source cannot assign an exact sheet count to this card; the range covers its modeled class, not a confidence interval. | |
Market pack price $71.48 XY - Evolutions Evolutions Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~1.07–1.19% per pack About 1 in 84–93 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSheet-model range; not a confidence interval Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.14444444 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 9–10 copies / 121 sheet positions. The source cannot assign an exact sheet count to this card; the range covers its modeled class, not a confidence interval. Standard holo Charizard only. Reverse holo, EX, and Mega EX have different rates; later print runs may differ from the source sample. | |
![]() McDonald's Collection 2016 2016-08 · Promotional McDonald's Collection Promo card shown; wrapper not pictured | Market pack price Individual card promotion; a comparable sealed booster pack is not verified. | Odds for each named card Unknown · exact regional distribution and comparable opening evidence not verified |
Market pack price $33.65 XY - Steam Siege Steam Siege Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.40% per pack About 1 in 250 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.066666667 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 6 copies / 100 sheet positions. | |
Market pack price $45.80 XY - Fates Collide XY Fates Collide Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.80% per pack About 1 in 125 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.066666667 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 12 copies / 100 sheet positions. | |
Market pack price $334.95 Generations Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~4.00% per pack About 1 in 25 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 1 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 4 copies / 100 sheet positions. One modeled Radiant Collection SPa slot; seven ultra rares/full arts have four positions each. | |
Market pack price $51.35 XY - BREAKpoint XY BREAKpoint Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.80% per pack About 1 in 125 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.066666667 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 12 copies / 100 sheet positions. | |
![]() McDonald's Collection 2015 2015-11 · Promotional McDonald's Collection Promo card shown; wrapper not pictured | Market pack price Individual card promotion; a comparable sealed booster pack is not verified. | Odds for each named card Unknown · exact regional distribution and comparable opening evidence not verified |
Market pack price $66.23 XY - BREAKthrough XY BREAKthrough Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.40% per pack About 1 in 250 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.066666667 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 6 copies / 100 sheet positions. | |
Market pack price $150.70 XY - Ancient Origins XY Ancient Origins Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.40% per pack About 1 in 250 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.066666667 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 6 copies / 100 sheet positions. Source assumes the three Primal/Mega showcase Pokémon share FA6 with secret rares. | |
Market pack price $86.25 XY - Roaring Skies Roaring Skies Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.47–0.53% per pack About 1 in 188–214 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSheet-model range; not a confidence interval Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.066666667 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 7–8 copies / 100 sheet positions. The source cannot assign an exact sheet count to this card; the range covers its modeled class, not a confidence interval. Shaymin EX full art, not the regular EX. Secret rares use FA6. | |
Market pack price $428.88 Double Crisis Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~5.56% per pack About 1 in 18 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.11111111 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 50 copies / 100 sheet positions. | |
Market pack price $92.43 XY - Primal Clash XY Primal Clash Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.33–0.40% per pack About 1 in 250–300 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSheet-model range; not a confidence interval Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.066666667 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 5–6 copies / 100 sheet positions. The source cannot assign an exact sheet count to this card; the range covers its modeled class, not a confidence interval. | |
Market pack price $229.72 XY - Phantom Forces XY Phantom Forces Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.29% per pack About 1 in 343 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.041666667 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 7 copies / 100 sheet positions. Dialga EX has a separately modeled FA7 allocation. | |
Market pack price $81.36 XY - Furious Fists Furious Fists Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.19% per pack About 1 in 514 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.097222222 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 2 copies / 100 sheet positions. | |
![]() McDonald's Collection 2014 2014-05 · Promotional McDonald's Collection Promo card shown; wrapper not pictured | Market pack price Individual card promotion; a comparable sealed booster pack is not verified. | Odds for each named card Unknown · exact regional distribution and comparable opening evidence not verified |
Market pack price $159.79 XY - Flashfire Flashfire Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.29% per pack About 1 in 343 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.097222222 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 3 copies / 100 sheet positions. | |
Market pack price $136.67 XY Base Set XY Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.44–0.47% per pack About 1 in 212–225 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSheet-model range; not a confidence interval Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.027777778 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 16–17 copies / 100 sheet positions. The source cannot assign an exact sheet count to this card; the range covers its modeled class, not a confidence interval. | |
Market pack price $392.43 Legendary Treasures Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~5.00% per pack About 1 in 20 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 1 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 5 copies / 100 sheet positions. One modeled SPa slot; Radiant Collection ultra rares have five positions each. Excludes lower-rarity Mew cards. | |
Market pack price $275.45 Plasma Blast Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.22% per pack About 1 in 450 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.037037037 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 6 copies / 100 sheet positions. | |
Market pack price $329.09 Plasma Freeze Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps last checked 2026-10-23. | Odds for each named card ~0.14% per pack About 1 in 720 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.046296296 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 3 copies / 100 sheet positions. | |
Market pack price $651.13 Plasma Storm Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.44% per pack About 1 in 225 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.037037037 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 12 copies / 100 sheet positions. Secret rares are assigned FA12 on the shared full-art sheet. | |
Market pack price $246.11 Boundaries Crossed Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.41–0.46% per pack About 1 in 218–245 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSheet-model range; not a confidence interval Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.050925926 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 8–9 copies / 100 sheet positions. The source cannot assign an exact sheet count to this card; the range covers its modeled class, not a confidence interval. Skyla belongs to the full-art class; four secret rares have a lower FA5 allocation. | |
Market pack price No supported price yet Dragon Vault Booster PackNo supported USD guide · Source date unavailable Price evidenceSold comps last checked 2026-08-16. | Odds for each named card ~4.13% per pack About 1 in 24 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 5 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 1 copies / 121 sheet positions. Five cards from the modeled holo sheet per Dragon Vault pack. This rate uses five draws and one Kyurem position; sequential collation is assumed, not five independent draws. | |
Market pack price $362.20 Dragons Exalted Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-10-29 Price evidenceOlder price evidence. Market guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.23–0.24% per pack About 1 in 422–436 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSheet-model range; not a confidence interval Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.0092592593 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 30–31 copies / 121 sheet positions. The source cannot assign an exact sheet count to this card; the range covers its modeled class, not a confidence interval. | |
![]() McDonald's Collection 2012 2012-06 · Promotional McDonald's Collection Promo card shown; wrapper not pictured | Market pack price Individual card promotion; a comparable sealed booster pack is not verified. | Odds for each named card Unknown · exact regional distribution and comparable opening evidence not verified |
Market pack price $396.63 Dark Explorers Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.31–0.31% per pack About 1 in 319–327 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSheet-model range; not a confidence interval Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.0092592593 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 40–41 copies / 121 sheet positions. The source cannot assign an exact sheet count to this card; the range covers its modeled class, not a confidence interval. | |
Market pack price $383.04 Next Destinies Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.44–0.47% per pack About 1 in 212–225 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSheet-model range; not a confidence interval Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.027777778 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 16–17 copies / 100 sheet positions. The source cannot assign an exact sheet count to this card; the range covers its modeled class, not a confidence interval. | |
Market pack price $168.87 Noble Victories Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~1.11% per pack About 1 in 90 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.055555556 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 20 copies / 100 sheet positions. | |
Market pack price $110.00 Emerging Powers Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~2.78% per pack About 1 in 36 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.055555556 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 50 copies / 100 sheet positions. | |
![]() McDonald's Collection 2011 2011-06 · Promotional McDonald's Collection Promo card shown; wrapper not pictured | Market pack price Individual card promotion; a comparable sealed booster pack is not verified. | Odds for each named card Unknown · exact regional distribution and comparable opening evidence not verified |
Market pack price $187.99 Black and White Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~1.39% per pack About 1 in 72 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.013888889 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 121 copies / 121 sheet positions. | |
Market pack price $1,114.85 Call of Legends Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.51% per pack About 1 in 198 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.055555556 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 11 copies / 121 sheet positions. All 11 Shiny Legends modeled with equal sheet counts. | |
Market pack price $400.00 Triumphant Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~1.67–1.81% per pack About 1 in 55–60 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSheet-model range; not a confidence interval Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.13888889 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 12–13 copies / 100 sheet positions. The source cannot assign an exact sheet count to this card; the range covers its modeled class, not a confidence interval. | |
Market pack price $490.00 Undaunted Booster PackAsking-price guide · 2026-07-08 Price evidenceOlder price evidence. Asking prices are not completed sales. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~2.22–2.36% per pack About 1 in 42–45 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSheet-model range; not a confidence interval Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.13888889 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 16–17 copies / 100 sheet positions. The source cannot assign an exact sheet count to this card; the range covers its modeled class, not a confidence interval. | |
Market pack price $433.32 Unleashed Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-07 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~1.36–1.44% per pack About 1 in 69–73 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSheet-model range; not a confidence interval Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.083333333 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 18–19 copies / 110 sheet positions. The source cannot assign an exact sheet count to this card; the range covers its modeled class, not a confidence interval. One specific LEGEND half; excludes the separate bottom half. | |
Market pack price $449.99 HeartGold SoulSilver Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~2.05–2.12% per pack About 1 in 47–49 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSheet-model range; not a confidence interval Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.083333333 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 27–28 copies / 110 sheet positions. The source cannot assign an exact sheet count to this card; the range covers its modeled class, not a confidence interval. Lugia LEGEND top half only, not a complete two-card LEGEND. Sheet model assumes paired halves. | |
Market pack price $568.06 Arceus Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps last checked 2026-08-30. | Odds for each named card ~1.38–1.45% per pack About 1 in 69–73 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSheet-model range; not a confidence interval Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.083333333 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 20–21 copies / 121 sheet positions. The source cannot assign an exact sheet count to this card; the range covers its modeled class, not a confidence interval. | |
Market pack price $737.49 Supreme Victors Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~1.37–1.45% per pack About 1 in 69–73 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSheet-model range; not a confidence interval Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.097222222 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 17–18 copies / 121 sheet positions. The source cannot assign an exact sheet count to this card; the range covers its modeled class, not a confidence interval. | |
Market pack price $999.99 Rising Rivals Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.92% per pack About 1 in 109 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.27777778 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 4 copies / 121 sheet positions. | |
Market pack price No supported price yet POP Series 9 PackNo supported USD guide · Source date unavailable Price evidenceSold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~3.31% per pack About 1 in 30 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.5 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 8 copies / 121 sheet positions. POP pack version only; separate holo promotional releases are not pack pulls. Series 8/9 contain two Pokémon plus an Energy; this rare uses the mixed rare/uncommon slot. | |
Market pack price $389.74 Platinum Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.92–0.96% per pack About 1 in 104–109 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSheet-model range; not a confidence interval Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.055555556 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 20–21 copies / 121 sheet positions. The source cannot assign an exact sheet count to this card; the range covers its modeled class, not a confidence interval. | |
Market pack price $596.55 Stormfront Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.92% per pack About 1 in 109 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.27777778 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 4 copies / 121 sheet positions. | |
Market pack price $29.76 POP Series 8 PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~3.31% per pack About 1 in 30 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.5 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 8 copies / 121 sheet positions. POP pack version only; separate holo promotional releases are not pack pulls. Series 8/9 contain two Pokémon plus an Energy; this rare uses the mixed rare/uncommon slot. | |
Market pack price No supported price yet Legends Awakened Booster PackNo supported USD guide · Source date unavailable Price evidenceSold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.78–0.83% per pack About 1 in 121–128 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSheet-model range; not a confidence interval Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.055555556 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 17–18 copies / 121 sheet positions. The source cannot assign an exact sheet count to this card; the range covers its modeled class, not a confidence interval. | |
Market pack price No supported price yet Majestic Dawn Booster PackNo supported USD guide · Source date unavailable Price evidenceSold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.69–0.71% per pack About 1 in 141–145 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSheet-model range; not a confidence interval Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.027777778 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 30–31 copies / 121 sheet positions. The source cannot assign an exact sheet count to this card; the range covers its modeled class, not a confidence interval. | |
Market pack price $49.77 POP Series 7 PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-10-18 Price evidenceOlder price evidence. Market guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~1.98–2.07% per pack About 1 in 48–50 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSheet-model range; not a confidence interval Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.1 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 24–25 copies / 121 sheet positions. The source cannot assign an exact sheet count to this card; the range covers its modeled class, not a confidence interval. POP pack version only; separate holo promotional releases are not pack pulls. | |
Market pack price $347.35 Great Encounters Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.69–0.71% per pack About 1 in 141–145 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSheet-model range; not a confidence interval Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.027777778 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 30–31 copies / 121 sheet positions. The source cannot assign an exact sheet count to this card; the range covers its modeled class, not a confidence interval. | |
Market pack price $628.19 Secret Wonders Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.69–0.70% per pack About 1 in 143–145 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSheet-model range; not a confidence interval Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.013888889 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 60–61 copies / 121 sheet positions. The source cannot assign an exact sheet count to this card; the range covers its modeled class, not a confidence interval. | |
Market pack price $47.50 POP Series 6 PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~1.98–2.07% per pack About 1 in 48–50 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSheet-model range; not a confidence interval Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.1 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 24–25 copies / 121 sheet positions. The source cannot assign an exact sheet count to this card; the range covers its modeled class, not a confidence interval. POP pack version only; separate holo promotional releases are not pack pulls. | |
Market pack price $339.83 Mysterious Treasures Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.92–0.94% per pack About 1 in 106–109 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSheet-model range; not a confidence interval Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.027777778 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 40–41 copies / 121 sheet positions. The source cannot assign an exact sheet count to this card; the range covers its modeled class, not a confidence interval. | |
Market pack price $304.17 Diamond and Pearl Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.92–0.94% per pack About 1 in 106–109 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSheet-model range; not a confidence interval Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.027777778 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 40–41 copies / 121 sheet positions. The source cannot assign an exact sheet count to this card; the range covers its modeled class, not a confidence interval. | |
Market pack price $2,290.00 POP Series 5 PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-10-09 Price evidenceOlder price evidence. Market guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~1.65–1.74% per pack About 1 in 58–61 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSheet-model range; not a confidence interval Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.1 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 20–21 copies / 121 sheet positions. The source cannot assign an exact sheet count to this card; the range covers its modeled class, not a confidence interval. POP pack version only; separate holo promotional releases are not pack pulls. | |
Market pack price $999.99 Power Keepers Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.41% per pack About 1 in 242 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.25 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 2 copies / 121 sheet positions. Jolteon Star is explicitly assigned H2 on the 121-position holo sheet. | |
Market pack price $1,999.99 Dragon Frontiers Booster PackAsking-price guide · 2026-08-17 Price evidenceOlder price evidence. Asking prices are not completed sales. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.41% per pack About 1 in 242 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.25 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 2 copies / 121 sheet positions. Gold Stars share a modeled 121-position holo sheet. Other sheet sizes in this set differ. | |
Market pack price $1,649.99 Crystal Guardians Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.35% per pack About 1 in 283 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.19444444 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 2 copies / 110 sheet positions. Gold Stars share the ordinary holo sheet in this model, rather than a universal Gold Star rate. | |
Market pack price $190.01 POP Series 4 PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~1.65–1.74% per pack About 1 in 58–61 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSheet-model range; not a confidence interval Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.1 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 20–21 copies / 121 sheet positions. The source cannot assign an exact sheet count to this card; the range covers its modeled class, not a confidence interval. POP pack version only; separate holo promotional releases are not pack pulls. | |
Market pack price $1,901.99 Holon Phantoms Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.46% per pack About 1 in 216 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.0092592593 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 55 copies / 110 sheet positions. Pikachu and Mewtwo share the two-card Gold Star sheet. Gyarados Star belongs to a different holo-sheet class. | |
Market pack price $193.94 POP Series 3 PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~1.40–1.49% per pack About 1 in 67–71 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSheet-model range; not a confidence interval Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.1 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 17–18 copies / 121 sheet positions. The source cannot assign an exact sheet count to this card; the range covers its modeled class, not a confidence interval. POP pack version only; separate holo promotional releases are not pack pulls. | |
Market pack price $1,600.00 Legend Maker Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.30–0.31% per pack About 1 in 321–330 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSheet-model range; not a confidence interval Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.0092592593 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 36–37 copies / 110 sheet positions. The source cannot assign an exact sheet count to this card; the range covers its modeled class, not a confidence interval. | |
Market pack price $441.00 Delta Species Booster PackeBay sold guide · 2026-10-08 Price evidenceOlder price evidence. Sold comps last checked 2026-10-19. | Odds for each named card ~0.30–0.31% per pack About 1 in 321–330 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSheet-model range; not a confidence interval Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.0092592593 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 36–37 copies / 110 sheet positions. The source cannot assign an exact sheet count to this card; the range covers its modeled class, not a confidence interval. | |
Market pack price No supported price yet Unseen Forces Booster PackNo supported USD guide · Source date unavailable Price evidenceSold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.30–0.31% per pack About 1 in 321–330 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSheet-model range; not a confidence interval Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.0092592593 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 36–37 copies / 110 sheet positions. The source cannot assign an exact sheet count to this card; the range covers its modeled class, not a confidence interval. | |
Market pack price $146.94 POP Series 2 PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~1.40–1.49% per pack About 1 in 67–71 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSheet-model range; not a confidence interval Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.1 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 17–18 copies / 121 sheet positions. The source cannot assign an exact sheet count to this card; the range covers its modeled class, not a confidence interval. POP pack version only; separate holo promotional releases are not pack pulls. | |
Market pack price $2,000.00 Emerald Booster PackAsking-price guide · 2026-10-24 Price evidenceOlder price evidence. Asking prices are not completed sales. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~1.36–1.44% per pack About 1 in 69–73 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSheet-model range; not a confidence interval Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.083333333 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 18–19 copies / 110 sheet positions. The source cannot assign an exact sheet count to this card; the range covers its modeled class, not a confidence interval. | |
Market pack price $2,399.99 Deoxys Booster PackAsking-price guide · 2026-02-26 Price evidenceOlder price evidence. Asking prices are not completed sales. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.30–0.31% per pack About 1 in 321–330 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSheet-model range; not a confidence interval Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.0092592593 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 36–37 copies / 110 sheet positions. The source cannot assign an exact sheet count to this card; the range covers its modeled class, not a confidence interval. | |
Market pack price No supported price yet Team Rocket Returns Booster PackNo supported USD guide · Source date unavailable Price evidenceSold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.30–0.31% per pack About 1 in 321–330 · each named target
Sheet-model range; not a confidence interval Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.0092592593 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 36–37 copies / 110 sheet positions. The source cannot assign an exact sheet count to this card; the range covers its modeled class, not a confidence interval. Gold Star insertion modeled at two per 216-pack sequence, not a guaranteed case pull. | |
Market pack price $141.36 POP Series 1 PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~1.40–1.49% per pack About 1 in 67–71 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSheet-model range; not a confidence interval Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.1 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 17–18 copies / 121 sheet positions. The source cannot assign an exact sheet count to this card; the range covers its modeled class, not a confidence interval. POP pack version only; separate holo promotional releases are not pack pulls. | |
Market pack price $1,013.30 FireRed & LeafGreen Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps last checked 2026-10-18. | Odds for each named card ~0.91–0.98% per pack About 1 in 102–110 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSheet-model range; not a confidence interval Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.083333333 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 12–13 copies / 110 sheet positions. The source cannot assign an exact sheet count to this card; the range covers its modeled class, not a confidence interval. | |
Market pack price $800.00 Hidden Legends Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.91–0.96% per pack About 1 in 104–110 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSheet-model range; not a confidence interval Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.055555556 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 18–19 copies / 110 sheet positions. The source cannot assign an exact sheet count to this card; the range covers its modeled class, not a confidence interval. Regice ex belongs to the six-card Pokémon-ex class; the three other ex use a separate sheet/insertion rate. | |
Market pack price $1,349.99 Team Magma vs Team Aqua Booster PackAsking-price guide · Source date unavailable Price evidenceGuide updated 2026-11-08; underlying price source date unavailable. Asking prices are not completed sales. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~1.14–1.21% per pack About 1 in 83–88 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSheet-model range; not a confidence interval Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.083333333 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 15–16 copies / 110 sheet positions. The source cannot assign an exact sheet count to this card; the range covers its modeled class, not a confidence interval. | |
Market pack price $1,125.00 Dragon EX Dragon Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~1.82–1.97% per pack About 1 in 51–55 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSheet-model range; not a confidence interval Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.16666667 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 12–13 copies / 110 sheet positions. The source cannot assign an exact sheet count to this card; the range covers its modeled class, not a confidence interval. | |
Market pack price No supported price yet Sandstorm Booster PackNo supported USD guide · Source date unavailable Price evidenceSold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~2.27–2.42% per pack About 1 in 41–44 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSheet-model range; not a confidence interval Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.16666667 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 15–16 copies / 110 sheet positions. The source cannot assign an exact sheet count to this card; the range covers its modeled class, not a confidence interval. | |
Market pack price $799.99 Ruby and Sapphire Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~1.97–2.12% per pack About 1 in 47–51 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSheet-model range; not a confidence interval Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.16666667 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 13–14 copies / 110 sheet positions. The source cannot assign an exact sheet count to this card; the range covers its modeled class, not a confidence interval. Regular print run only. The documented early error run doubled Pokémon-ex insertions. | |
Market pack price $3,520.00 Skyridge Booster PackeBay sold guide · 2026-09-30 Price evidenceOlder price evidence. Sold comps last checked 2026-10-16. | Odds for each named card ~0.61% per pack About 1 in 165 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.33333333 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 2 copies / 110 sheet positions. Crystal cards are presumed H2, based on the source reconstruction; assignment is unconfirmed. Excludes reverse holo. | |
Market pack price $1,999.99 Aquapolis Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.91–1.21% per pack About 1 in 83–110 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSheet-model range; not a confidence interval Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.33333333 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 3–4 copies / 110 sheet positions. The source cannot assign an exact sheet count to this card; the range covers its modeled class, not a confidence interval. Crystal Lugia is on the holo sheet; the source arbitrarily assigns H3. We retain the H3–H4 class range instead of treating that assignment as established. | |
Market pack price $4,800.00 Expedition Booster PackAsking-price guide · Source date unavailable Price evidenceGuide updated 2026-11-08; underlying price source date unavailable. Asking prices are not completed sales. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.91–1.21% per pack About 1 in 83–110 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSheet-model range; not a confidence interval Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.33333333 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 3–4 copies / 110 sheet positions. The source cannot assign an exact sheet count to this card; the range covers its modeled class, not a confidence interval. | |
Market pack price $4,999.99 Legendary Collection Booster PackAsking-price guide · 2026-03-18 Price evidenceOlder price evidence. Asking prices are not completed sales. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~0.91% per pack About 1 in 110 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 1 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 1 copies / 110 sheet positions. One modeled reverse slot across 110 cards. This is the reverse holo, not the regular holo Charizard. | |
Market pack price $1,699.00 Neo Destiny Booster Pack [Unlimited Edition]Asking-price guide · Source date unavailable Price evidenceGuide updated 2026-11-08; underlying price source date unavailable. Asking prices are not completed sales. Sold comps not yet verified. $4,473.49 Neo Destiny Booster Pack [1st Edition]Asking-price guide · 2026-10-17 Price evidenceOlder price evidence. Asking prices are not completed sales. Sold comps last checked 2026-10-17. | Odds for each named card ~0.98–1.06% per pack About 1 in 94–102 · each named target
Sheet-model range; not a confidence interval Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.083333333 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 13–14 copies / 110 sheet positions. The source cannot assign an exact sheet count to this card; the range covers its modeled class, not a confidence interval. Normal 1st Edition/unlimited model. A separate unlimited error run has 50% more Shining insertions and is excluded. | |
Market pack price $889.99 Neo Revelation Booster Pack [Unlimited Edition]Asking-price guide · Source date unavailable Price evidenceGuide updated 2026-11-08; underlying price source date unavailable. Asking prices are not completed sales. Sold comps not yet verified. No supported price yet Neo Revelation Booster Pack [1st Edition]No supported USD guide · Source date unavailable Price evidenceSold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~1.82% per pack About 1 in 55 · each named target
Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.33333333 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 6 copies / 110 sheet positions. Both Shining cards are presumed H6 in the source, based on a limited box sample; assignment is unconfirmed. | |
Market pack price $537.50 Neo Discovery Booster Pack [Unlimited Edition]TCGPlayer market guide · 2026-10-10 Price evidenceOlder price evidence. Market guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. $1,500.00 Neo Discovery Booster Pack [1st Edition]TCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~1.82–2.12% per pack About 1 in 47–55 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSheet-model range; not a confidence interval Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.33333333 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 6–7 copies / 110 sheet positions. The source cannot assign an exact sheet count to this card; the range covers its modeled class, not a confidence interval. | |
Market pack price $631.99 Neo Genesis Booster Pack [Unlimited Edition]TCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. No supported price yet Neo Genesis Booster Pack [1st Edition]No supported USD guide · Source date unavailable Price evidenceSold comps last checked 2026-10-07. | Odds for each named card ~1.82–2.12% per pack About 1 in 47–55 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSheet-model range; not a confidence interval Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.33333333 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 6–7 copies / 110 sheet positions. The source cannot assign an exact sheet count to this card; the range covers its modeled class, not a confidence interval. Lugia is in the unresolved H6/H7 group. Starter holos have a separate H4 allocation. | |
Market pack price $419.99 Gym Challenge Booster Pack [Unlimited Edition]TCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. $816.67 Gym Challenge Booster Pack [1st Edition]TCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~1.52–1.82% per pack About 1 in 55–66 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSheet-model range; not a confidence interval Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.33333333 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 5–6 copies / 110 sheet positions. The source cannot assign an exact sheet count to this card; the range covers its modeled class, not a confidence interval. | |
Market pack price $279.08 Gym Heroes Booster Pack [Unlimited Edition]TCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. $563.33 Gym Heroes Booster Pack [1st Edition]TCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~1.52–1.82% per pack About 1 in 55–66 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSheet-model range; not a confidence interval Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.33333333 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 5–6 copies / 110 sheet positions. The source cannot assign an exact sheet count to this card; the range covers its modeled class, not a confidence interval. | |
Market pack price $329.64 Team Rocket Booster Pack [Unlimited Edition]TCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. $755.29 Team Rocket Booster Pack [1st Edition]TCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~1.82% per pack About 1 in 55 · each named target
Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.33333333 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 6 copies / 110 sheet positions. Dark Charizard and Dark Raichu are H6. Only Dark Arbok and Dark Weezing are H7. | |
Market pack price $459.26 Base Set 2 Booster PackTCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~1.52–1.82% per pack About 1 in 55–66 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSheet-model range; not a confidence interval Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.33333333 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 5–6 copies / 110 sheet positions. The source cannot assign an exact sheet count to this card; the range covers its modeled class, not a confidence interval. | |
Market pack price $340.31 Fossil Booster Pack [Unlimited Edition]TCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. $671.35 Fossil Booster Pack [1st Edition]TCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~2.12% per pack About 1 in 47 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.33333333 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 7 copies / 110 sheet positions. Gengar is outside the five documented H8 cards; first edition and unlimited. | |
Market pack price $327.27 Jungle Booster Pack [Unlimited Edition]TCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. $774.05 Jungle Booster Pack [1st Edition]TCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~1.82% per pack About 1 in 55 · each named target Sheet model · sourceSample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.33333333 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 6 copies / 110 sheet positions. Wigglytuff is explicitly assigned H6; first edition and unlimited. | |
Market pack price $897.89 Base Set Booster Pack [Revised Unlimited Edition]TCGPlayer market guide · 2026-11-08 Price evidenceMarket guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified. | Odds for each named card ~2.12% per pack About 1 in 47 · each named target Sheet model · sourceUnlimited only; excludes 1st Edition and Shadowless Sample and assumptionsCommunity print-sheet reconstruction and pack-opening analysis. Model: 0.33333333 eligible-sheet insertions per pack × 7 copies / 110 sheet positions. Unlimited printing only. Do not use for 1st Edition or Shadowless packs. Machamp was a deck card, not a booster pull. |
What a pack price buys
A pack buys its contents and a chance at a card pool. The directory covers all 129 English expansion and special sets through October 3, 2026, plus nine POP series and twelve McDonald’s releases. Chase estimates now cover all 129 expansions and nine POP series, with opening studies, small observed samples, and print-sheet models labeled separately. The budget comparison ranks modeled chances at each exact card and shows its dated raw single guide value. None is a guaranteed pull.
History, calculator, methodology, and sources
Key takeaways
- 129 expansion and special sets, plus 21 POP and McDonald’s releases, are individually searchable. Other promotional pack families have their own appendix.
- Prices name the exact pack edition and underlying market source. A market-price fallback is not verified sold evidence.
- Compare whole-pack chase chances for your budget with the exact raw single’s guide value. A higher chance is not a full-pack expected-value or profit ranking.
- Any-SIR odds and the odds of one exact SIR are different. Keep language, set, card number, and rarity together.
- One in 1,000 is an average rate. Opening 1,000 packs at that modeled rate still leaves about a 36.8% chance of no target.
- Vintage estimates use set-specific print-sheet reconstructions. Unresolved sheet assignments appear as model ranges, not confidence intervals. Missing prices and unobserved cards remain unknown.
1. Thirty years of packs: what this guide covers
The Pokémon Trading Card Game began in Japan in 1996. English Base Set followed in 1999. That makes the thirtieth anniversary a history of the game, rather than thirty years of English booster releases. Japanese expansions, English expansions, and other regional releases have different names, card pools, pack formats, and release schedules. A Japanese booster cannot inherit the odds or price of its English counterpart.
This guide inventories English physical expansion packs through October 3, 2026: every regular expansion and special set in the directory, followed by POP and McDonald’s releases and a separate appendix for other promotional pack families. It covers the set inside the pack. It does not count every wrapper artwork, retailer blister, reprint wave, box, tin, or language as a new expansion. Pokémon TCG Pocket is a digital game and is outside this physical-pack directory.
“Complete” describes the expansion checklist, not the availability of prices or probabilities. Old release dates can differ by country; the directory displays release month and year from the cited catalog. Where we have not verified a comparable price or a credible pull-rate study, the result is unknown. Neither a missing price nor a missing probability means zero.
2. What are you paying for when you open a pack?
A sealed pack buys its contents, the opening experience, and a chance at cards from a particular pool. The price tag does not promise a chase card. There are three different questions: what does a pack cost, how often does its rarity appear, and how often does the exact card you want appear? A claim such as “one Special Illustration Rare in 87 packs” describes a rarity class. It cannot be used as the chance of one specific Pikachu.
The same Pokémon can have a regular ex, an Ultra Rare, a Special Illustration Rare, and another treatment in the same set. The card number is essential. In Surging Sparks, Pikachu ex 238/191 is a different target from 057/191, 219/191, or 247/191. A correct name paired with the wrong number can make a pack-opening comparison meaningless.
Keep the target precise: English set, exact card number, rarity, and finish. Then compare the pack cost with the price of that exact single in the condition you want. Opening a card does not automatically make it mint, perfectly centered, or a particular grading outcome. The odds of pulling it and the odds of receiving a future PSA 10 are separate questions.
3. 1999–2003: Base, Jungle, Fossil, Rocket, Gym, Neo, and e-Card
English collecting starts with Base Set, Jungle, and Fossil, followed by Base Set 2 and Team Rocket. Gym Heroes and Gym Challenge introduce trainer-associated Pokémon. Neo Genesis, Neo Discovery, Neo Revelation, and Neo Destiny carry the next generation into the English game. Legendary Collection revisits early cards; Expedition, Aquapolis, and Skyridge form the e-Card period. All fifteen expansions appear individually in the directory.
Vintage chase conversations often center on Base Set Charizard, Neo Genesis Lugia, Neo Destiny’s Shining cards, and the Crystal Pokémon in the e-Card sets. Those are different rarity structures. A holo rate, a secret-card rate, and the probability of one specific Crystal card are different measurements. The directory uses set-specific community sheet reconstructions, with printing restrictions and unresolved model ranges attached. These estimates depend on the source’s insertion-rate assumptions and do not establish the odds of a seller-selected or weighed loose pack.
A sealed vintage pack also has value as a surviving collectible. Opening it consumes that object permanently. Even a valuable pull may fail to offset the sealed-pack price, and a broad holo assumption cannot establish expected value. For a nostalgic opening, choose the experience and spending limit deliberately; for a specific card, compare the exact single first.
4. 2003–2007: the sixteen EX expansions
The EX sequence runs from Ruby & Sapphire through Sandstorm, Dragon, Team Magma vs Team Aqua, Hidden Legends, FireRed & LeafGreen, Team Rocket Returns, Deoxys, Emerald, Unseen Forces, Delta Species, Legend Maker, Holon Phantoms, Crystal Guardians, Dragon Frontiers, and Power Keepers. These are sixteen separate card pools, even when packaging and naming share the EX prefix.
Pokémon-ex, Gold Star Pokémon, and Delta Species cards make this period especially sensitive to identity. Not every EX expansion contains Gold Stars, and a Gold Star in one set says nothing about a different set’s rate. The Unseen Forces Unown Collection is a subset within its parent expansion, rather than a seventeenth retail expansion pack.
POP Series packs belong beside this history, but in the promotional lane. The nine POP series were distributed through organized play. POP Series 5 is famous for its Gold Star cards, yet its distribution and card pool should not be merged with an EX retail booster. Its directory row labels the community sheet-model estimate separately from measured opening studies. Unknown prices remain visible.
5. 2007–2011: Diamond & Pearl, Platinum, HeartGold & SoulSilver
The seven Diamond & Pearl expansions are Diamond & Pearl, Mysterious Treasures, Secret Wonders, Great Encounters, Majestic Dawn, Legends Awakened, and Stormfront. Four Platinum expansions follow: Platinum, Rising Rivals, Supreme Victors, and Arceus. HeartGold & SoulSilver then brings Unleashed, Undaunted, and Triumphant before Call of Legends.
LV.X, Pokémon SP, Pokémon LEGEND halves, Prime cards, and shiny treatments are not interchangeable hits. A collector pursuing both halves of a LEGEND card needs a different probability question from someone pursuing any premium card. Complete-pair odds require a model of both targets and their pack slots, rather than reusing a single-card percentage.
This period also illustrates why promo numbering is not a booster checklist. DP and HGSS Black Star Promos gather cards from many products and events. Trainer Kits and Pokémon Rumble have fixed contents. Those products matter to collectors, but assigning them a retail booster chase rate would describe the wrong purchase.
6. 2011–2016: Black & White, full arts, EX, Mega, and BREAK
The eleven Black & White expansions run from Black & White through Emerging Powers, Noble Victories, Next Destinies, Dark Explorers, Dragons Exalted, Boundaries Crossed, Plasma Storm, Plasma Freeze, Plasma Blast, and Legendary Treasures. Dragon Vault adds a smaller special pack format. Legendary Treasures contains a Radiant Collection subset, which is counted with its parent pack.
The twelve XY expansions are XY, Flashfire, Furious Fists, Phantom Forces, Primal Clash, Roaring Skies, Ancient Origins, BREAKthrough, BREAKpoint, Fates Collide, Steam Siege, and Evolutions. Double Crisis and Generations are separate special releases. Mega Evolution Pokémon and BREAK cards add new treatments, while Evolutions revisits the look and characters of the early game.
Different premium cards may use different slots. A pack can sometimes contain more than one kind of hit, so adding the individual percentages can double-count a pack. Radiant Collection is another reason that “hit rate” needs a definition. A rate for any attractive foil is not the probability of a chosen full art or secret rare.
7. 2017–2019: GX, Rainbow Rares, TAG TEAM, and special sets
The twelve regular Sun & Moon expansions run from Sun & Moon through Guardians Rising, Burning Shadows, Crimson Invasion, Ultra Prism, Forbidden Light, Celestial Storm, Lost Thunder, Team Up, Unbroken Bonds, Unified Minds, and Cosmic Eclipse. Shining Legends, Dragon Majesty, Detective Pikachu, and Hidden Fates have separate special-set packs.
Pokémon-GX, Rainbow Rares, and TAG TEAM cards create several distinct versions of the same character combination. Cosmic Eclipse character cards and Hidden Fates’ Shiny Vault add another layer. The Shiny Vault is opened through Hidden Fates packs, not through a separate Shiny Vault expansion booster. Detective Pikachu uses its own smaller pack format and card pool.
For older special releases, the price of an ETB or collection box can include an important promo and substantial sealed demand. Dividing that price by its expansion pack count is a gross cost per pack. It does not establish that the promo has no value or that those packs have stronger odds than the same expansion packs sold elsewhere.
8. 2020–2023: V, VMAX, alternate art, Trainer Gallery, Galarian Gallery
The twelve regular Sword & Shield expansions are Sword & Shield, Rebel Clash, Darkness Ablaze, Vivid Voltage, Battle Styles, Chilling Reign, Evolving Skies, Fusion Strike, Brilliant Stars, Astral Radiance, Lost Origin, and Silver Tempest. Champion’s Path, Shining Fates, Celebrations, Pokémon GO, and Crown Zenith are separate special sets.
Alternate-art V and VMAX cards can be the exact target, while Amazing Rares, Shiny Vault, Trainer Gallery, and Galarian Gallery cards occupy other collecting lanes. Brilliant Stars, Astral Radiance, Lost Origin, and Silver Tempest each have a Trainer Gallery subset. Crown Zenith’s Galarian Gallery belongs to Crown Zenith packs. Celebrations’ Classic Collection belongs to Celebrations packs.
TCGplayer’s historical Evolving Skies opening study estimates a specific alternate-art VMAX at 0.05% ± 0.05 percentage points, assuming equal population among six cards. The lower end reaches zero, illustrating how uncertain a very scarce target can be. The distinction matters when comparing Evolving Skies with Crown Zenith or Celebrations. A high frequency of one gallery treatment does not transfer to an alternate-art VMAX from a different expansion. Neither an opening video nor a box with several hits establishes a universal guarantee for the next box.
9. 2023–2025: Illustration Rares, SIRs, ACE SPEC, and larger pools
The regular Scarlet & Violet sequence is Scarlet & Violet, Paldea Evolved, Obsidian Flames, Paradox Rift, Temporal Forces, Twilight Masquerade, Stellar Crown, Surging Sparks, Journey Together, and Destined Rivals. Special sets add 151, Paldean Fates, Shrouded Fable, Prismatic Evolutions, Black Bolt, and White Flare. Black Bolt and White Flare are separate expansion pools.
This era makes the difference between a rarity and an exact card particularly visible. Illustration Rares and Special Illustration Rares have different rates. A bigger pool of SIRs can reduce the chance of your one chosen SIR even when the overall SIR frequency is similar. ACE SPEC cards introduce a further category that should be tracked separately.
The examples below use English pack-opening studies and identify specific card numbers. They do not apply to Japanese 151, a mini pack, a resealed product, or an arbitrary mystery pack. Paldean Fates’ shiny treatments are also separate from its SIRs: pulling a shiny Pokémon is not equivalent to pulling Charizard ex 234/091.
10. 2025–2026: Mega Evolution and 30th Celebration
The Mega Evolution period currently includes Mega Evolution, Phantasmal Flames, Ascended Heroes, Perfect Order, Chaos Rising, Pitch Black, and 30th Celebration. Ascended Heroes and 30th Celebration belong in the special-set lane. Releases announced for after this guide’s October 3 cutoff are not counted as already available.
Pokémon’s official 30th Celebration showcase describes five foil cards plus a foil Energy in an expansion pack, including a Pikachu from the thirty-card Pikachu group. That inclusion must not be confused with a guaranteed Pikachu ex Special Illustration Rare. The regular Pikachu group, SIR Pikachu ex cards, and other anniversary treatments have different identities.
TCGplayer’s September 24 study opened more than 3,000 packs. It reported 4.88% for any SIR and 0.49% for a specific SIR, with uncertainty. It found no RGB Rare Mew in that sample and listed the rate as unknown. Zero observations do not establish impossibility. The directory therefore keeps the RGB chase unknown rather than turning “not observed” into a 0% chance.
11. Pack price versus the exact chase: worked examples
The cards below compare Twilight Masquerade, Surging Sparks, and Paldean Fates using each pack’s dated catalog value. Price basis and sold-evidence freshness appear alongside their specific-SIR estimates of approximately 0.11%, 0.10%, and 0.22% per pack respectively. These are estimates, not promises.
The study tables publish rounded percentages and rounded “one in X” shorthand. Those figures do not invert perfectly. This guide uses the published percentage for calculations and preserves the study’s shorthand separately. A 0.10% input means roughly 1,000 packs per hit on average in the model, while the source’s rounded shorthand says one in 960. Neither figure is a buying instruction.
Under an equal-population assumption, another specific SIR from the same rarity pool gets the same modeled point estimate. That is an assumption supported by the study’s method, not a separate direct measurement of each card. The table names one or more exact targets for each researched set and links to its source, sample, and assumptions. A confidence interval is displayed only when the source supplies one.
Twilight Masquerade
$9.26 / pack
~0.11%
per pack · source shorthand: 1 in 941
95% interval ±0.07 percentage points. TCGPlayer market guide. Price source 2026-11-08. Market guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified.
Surging Sparks
$8.70 / pack
~0.10%
per pack · source shorthand: 1 in 960
95% interval ±0.07 percentage points. TCGPlayer market guide. Price source 2026-11-08. Market guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps last checked 2026-10-07.
Paldean Fates
$24.20 / pack
~0.22%
per pack · source shorthand: 1 in 465
95% interval ±0.21 percentage points. TCGPlayer market guide. Price source 2026-11-08. Market guide; fresh sold evidence does not currently support a sold-based value. Sold comps not yet verified.
12. How many packs buy a meaningful chance?
For a per-pack probability p and n independent eligible packs, the probability of at least one target is 1 − (1 − p)^n. Expected packs to the first target are 1/p; expected spend is pack price divided by p. “Expected” is a mathematical average across repeated trials, not the amount you will spend or a cap on your losses.
At a modeled 0.10% chance, 36 packs give about a 3.54% chance of at least one target. Around 693 packs reach 50%, 2,302 reach 90%, and 2,995 reach 95%. Opening the average 1,000 packs still gives only about a 63.2% chance. There is no finite number of independent packs that makes a less-than-certain target guaranteed.
The calculator treats pack price and pull probability as constant inputs. Real product selection, manufacturing batches, search or selection of loose packs, and an uncertain study estimate can break that model. The displayed range varies the probability over the study’s published interval or the sheet-model endpoints; it is a sensitivity calculation, not a personal-results confidence interval. It does not measure resale return or grading outcomes.
Pikachu ex SIR 238/191 · ~0.10% per pack · Opening study. Published 95% interval ±0.07 percentage points. Published specific-card estimate assumes equal population within this rarity; it is not a separate observed count for every named card. Source
Probability sensitivity using the supplied interval or model bounds: 1.07% to 5.94%. This range does not bound your personal results.
| Chance | Packs | Cost at your input |
|---|---|---|
| 50% | 693 | $6,029.10 |
| 90% | 2,302 | $20,027.40 |
| 95% | 2,995 | $26,056.50 |
Model average: 1,000 packs to the first target, or $8,700.00 at your input. Actual outcomes vary. The model assumes independent eligible packs and a constant probability. No checkout costs are added to your input. A sold guide may already include reported shipping. A missing price is never treated as a free pack.
13. Which pack formats can you compare?
An expansion can appear in a loose booster, a cardboard sleeve, a blister, a Booster Bundle, a Booster Box, an ETB, a tin, or a collection box. The outer product may include other expansion packs, fixed promos, accessories, or exclusive stamps. Count eligible packs for the exact target, rather than every pack in a mixed box.
For a gross comparison, divide the all-in product cost by the number of eligible packs. If a $60 box contains ten packs but only four can contain your target, its target-specific gross cost is $15 per eligible pack. If it contains six packs from the target expansion, the same cost is $10. This calculation does not allocate value to the remaining contents.
A separate allocation can credit a promo or accessory, but only with a defensible value for that exact item and its condition. Do not subtract an optimistic asking price to manufacture cheap packs. Keep the original gross cost visible. Mini packs, sample packs, event packs, and Japanese boxes need their own content and odds research; standard English booster estimates do not automatically apply.
14. Promotional packs, subsets, and products with fixed contents
The promotional appendix below covers other pack families and the exceptions most likely to confuse a thirty-year checklist. POP and McDonald’s releases are already individual rows in the directory. Play! Pokémon Prize Packs, Trick or Trade, General Mills promotions, and First Partner Illustration packs have separate identities and distributions. This appendix is a family guide, not an assertion that every regional event wrapper and sample giveaway has been cataloged.
Promotional series are not all the same format. A Play! logo, pumpkin stamp, cereal promotion, or special holo pattern can define an exact printing. McDonald’s releases also differ by country and campaign year. A catalog’s year label is not evidence of a simultaneous worldwide release. The twelve catalog years in the directory should be read as English campaign records.
Fixed card products belong in a different calculation. Southern Islands, Pokémon Rumble, Trainer Kits, My First Battle, and the 2021 First Partner jumbo collections contain predetermined card selections, with some products also including ordinary expansion boosters. A known included card is a content fact, not a lucky pull. Only the ordinary boosters contribute a chance at cards from their own expansion pools.
POP Series 1–9
All nine series appear individually in the directory (2004–2009).
Organized-play distribution; separate card pools. Set-specific sheet models appear in the directory; separate holo promotional versions are excluded.
Source / exact identityMcDonald’s collections
English catalog campaigns: 2011, 2012, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024.
Individual directory rows use catalog year labels. The 2024 collection is Dragon Discovery, released in the US in January 2025. Local campaigns, pack contents, and foil treatments need exact regional identification.
Source / exact identityPlay! Pokémon Prize Packs
Series One, Two, Three, Four, Five, Six, Seven, Eight, Nine.
Stamped organized-play reprints. Series Eight started January 1, 2026; Series Nine started July 1, 2026. Retail expansion odds do not apply.
Source / exact identityTrick or Trade BOOster packs
Cataloged English editions: 2022, 2023, 2024.
Pumpkin-stamped cards in a mini-pack format. Campaign availability does not by itself establish a new card set; Verify the card pool when packs are redistributed in a later campaign.
Source / exact identityGeneral Mills promotional packs
Catalog identities include Kanto, Sun & Moon, and the 25th Anniversary promotion.
Cereal-promotion card pools and variants; independent of standard retail booster odds. These family labels are not a global inventory of every cereal campaign.
Source / exact identityFirst Partner Illustration Collection
2026 Series 1, Series 2, Series 3 special packs.
Special illustration selections distributed in collection products. Keep the special pack separate from the ordinary expansion boosters also inside the product. Specific selection odds unknown.
Source / exact identityPoké Card Creator Pack and sample giveaways
Poké Card Creator Pack (2004), demonstration and promotional sample pack families.
Distinct promotional distribution. Verify contents and regional identity before assigning a random-card model. Not counted as regular retail expansions.
Source / exact identityThree-card mini packs and dollar-store formats
Reduced-content versions of some expansion packs.
A standard booster’s rare-slot or SIR study cannot be transferred to a mini pack. Packaging edition and contents must be checked separately.
Source / exact identityFixed selections and jumbo products
Southern Islands, Trainer Kits, Pokémon Rumble, My First Battle, 2021 First Partner jumbo collections.
Predetermined card selections are not random chase odds. Any ordinary expansion boosters included with them retain their own set identity.
Source / exact identityAnniversary Classic Collection
Celebrations (2021) and 30th Celebration (2026) have separate Classic Collection pools.
Classic cards found in parent expansion packs are subsets. Separately announced 30th Classic packs for later products must not inherit the parent expansion’s odds or be counted as already released before this guide’s cutoff.
Source / exact identity15. When buying the single answers the question better
The budget comparison above ranks whole compatible packs by the modeled chance of one exact target: 1 − (1 − p)^floor(budget / pack price). Prices and budgets are rounded to cents and unspent money is shown. Sold guides may include reported shipping; checkout taxes and shipping vary and are not separately added. The default restricts the comparison to SIR opening studies. Broader comparisons mix different cards and evidence types, so each row keeps its source and uncertainty. Rankings use point estimates and can change when uncertainty ranges overlap.
If the goal is owning one exact card, compare that single’s current price with the amount you are comfortable spending for a chance. A cheap pack with a tiny target probability can be an expensive route to the card. A cost-per-average-hit calculation is useful for showing scale, but it does not price the entertainment, other cards, or sealed collectible you give up by opening.
Expected resale value would require the entire pack outcome distribution, card-specific prices by condition, fees, shipping, and realistic liquidity. A chase probability multiplied by one headline card price is not a complete expected-value model. A highly priced card with thin sales evidence does not make every pack worth that amount.
Use CollectAIO to keep the comparison on exact identities: inspect the linked pack edition, the exact single and its variants, the evidence basis, and sold-comparable evidence. Save the items you care about to a collection or watchlist. The platform gives the comparison somewhere to live as prices change; the webpage follows current catalog guides while CSV snapshots remain dated so they can be audited.
16. Sources, coverage, and how to read uncertainty
Pack catalog identities and stored images were checked October 7, 2026; chase evidence was reviewed October 5, 2026. Each named target links its exact English raw variant. Every pack price preserves its underlying source date and evidence basis; older or unverified sold evidence is labeled. Each directory row links the original study or set-specific sheet reconstruction. Modern estimates come from TCGplayer, Cardzard, independently collected breaker data, and DigitalTQ. The latter includes small mixed-source samples, which are labeled and should not be treated as established print-run probabilities.
Vintage probabilities are conditional reconstructions from EFour’s English Pokémon Card Rarity Guide: the insertion rate of a sheet multiplied by the number of copies of the target divided by the sheet’s positions. Unequal print-sheet counts matter. If the source cannot assign the target’s exact count, we preserve the class range. These bounds are model assumptions, not statistical confidence intervals.
For estimates derived from an observed rarity rate, we divide only by the cards eligible in that English pack, under an explicit equal-population assumption. Black Bolt and White Flare have separate seven-card SIR pools; dividing a pooled two-set rate by all fourteen cards would understate a target’s modeled chance. A missing interval is never manufactured.
A study can differ from a later print run. Selection of boxes, loose packs, weighted vintage packs, breaker inventory, and small samples can change what is observed. The source links, sample sizes, card numbers, formulas, and limitations remain attached to the estimates in the table and CSV.
- 1.TCGdex English physical set catalog and per-set release records
- 2.TCGdex set-data definitions
- 3.CollectAIO English checklist catalog
- 4.Pokémon: 30th Celebration release announcement
- 5.Pokémon: 30th Celebration product showcase and pack contents
- 6.Pokémon: Mysterious Treasures expansion and pack contents
- 7.Pokémon: Black & White expansion
- 8.Pokémon: XY Evolutions expansion
- 9.Pokémon: Shining Legends expansion
- 10.Base Set: Sheet model and assumptions
- 11.Jungle: Sheet model and assumptions
- 12.Fossil: Sheet model and assumptions
- 13.Base Set 2: Sheet model and assumptions
- 14.Team Rocket: Sheet model and assumptions
- 15.Gym Heroes: Sheet model and assumptions
- 16.Gym Challenge: Sheet model and assumptions
- 17.Neo Genesis: Sheet model and assumptions
- 18.Neo Discovery: Sheet model and assumptions
- 19.Neo Revelation: Sheet model and assumptions
- 20.Neo Destiny: Sheet model and assumptions
- 21.Legendary Collection: Sheet model and assumptions
- 22.Expedition Base Set: Sheet model and assumptions
- 23.Aquapolis: Sheet model and assumptions
- 24.Skyridge: Sheet model and assumptions
- 25.Ruby & Sapphire: Sheet model and assumptions
- 26.Sandstorm: Sheet model and assumptions
- 27.Dragon: Sheet model and assumptions
- 28.Team Magma vs Team Aqua: Sheet model and assumptions
- 29.Hidden Legends: Sheet model and assumptions
- 30.FireRed & LeafGreen: Sheet model and assumptions
- 31.Team Rocket Returns: Sheet model and assumptions
- 32.Deoxys: Sheet model and assumptions
- 33.Emerald: Sheet model and assumptions
- 34.Unseen Forces: Sheet model and assumptions
- 35.Delta Species: Sheet model and assumptions
- 36.Legend Maker: Sheet model and assumptions
- 37.Holon Phantoms: Sheet model and assumptions
- 38.Crystal Guardians: Sheet model and assumptions
- 39.Dragon Frontiers: Sheet model and assumptions
- 40.Power Keepers: Sheet model and assumptions
- 41.Diamond & Pearl: Sheet model and assumptions
- 42.Mysterious Treasures: Sheet model and assumptions
- 43.Secret Wonders: Sheet model and assumptions
- 44.Great Encounters: Sheet model and assumptions
- 45.Majestic Dawn: Sheet model and assumptions
- 46.Legends Awakened: Sheet model and assumptions
- 47.Stormfront: Sheet model and assumptions
- 48.Platinum: Sheet model and assumptions
- 49.Rising Rivals: Sheet model and assumptions
- 50.Supreme Victors: Sheet model and assumptions
- 51.Arceus: Sheet model and assumptions
- 52.HeartGold SoulSilver: Sheet model and assumptions
- 53.Unleashed: Sheet model and assumptions
- 54.Undaunted: Sheet model and assumptions
- 55.Triumphant: Sheet model and assumptions
- 56.Call of Legends: Sheet model and assumptions
- 57.Black & White: Sheet model and assumptions
- 58.Emerging Powers: Sheet model and assumptions
- 59.Noble Victories: Sheet model and assumptions
- 60.Next Destinies: Sheet model and assumptions
- 61.Dark Explorers: Sheet model and assumptions
- 62.Dragons Exalted: Sheet model and assumptions
- 63.Dragon Vault: Sheet model and assumptions
- 64.Boundaries Crossed: Sheet model and assumptions
- 65.Plasma Storm: Sheet model and assumptions
- 66.Plasma Freeze: Sheet model and assumptions
- 67.Plasma Blast: Sheet model and assumptions
- 68.Legendary Treasures: Sheet model and assumptions
- 69.XY: Sheet model and assumptions
- 70.Flashfire: Sheet model and assumptions
- 71.Furious Fists: Sheet model and assumptions
- 72.Phantom Forces: Sheet model and assumptions
- 73.Primal Clash: Sheet model and assumptions
- 74.Double Crisis: Sheet model and assumptions
- 75.Roaring Skies: Sheet model and assumptions
- 76.Ancient Origins: Sheet model and assumptions
- 77.BREAKthrough: Sheet model and assumptions
- 78.BREAKpoint: Sheet model and assumptions
- 79.Generations: Sheet model and assumptions
- 80.Fates Collide: Sheet model and assumptions
- 81.Steam Siege: Sheet model and assumptions
- 82.Evolutions: Sheet model and assumptions
- 83.POP Series 1: Sheet model and assumptions
- 84.POP Series 2: Sheet model and assumptions
- 85.POP Series 3: Sheet model and assumptions
- 86.POP Series 4: Sheet model and assumptions
- 87.POP Series 5: Sheet model and assumptions
- 88.POP Series 6: Sheet model and assumptions
- 89.POP Series 7: Sheet model and assumptions
- 90.POP Series 8: Sheet model and assumptions
- 91.POP Series 9: Sheet model and assumptions
- 92.Sun & Moon: Sheet model and assumptions
- 93.Guardians Rising: Sheet model and assumptions
- 94.Burning Shadows: Sheet model and assumptions
- 95.Crimson Invasion: Sheet model and assumptions
- 96.Ultra Prism: Sheet model and assumptions
- 97.Forbidden Light: Sheet model and assumptions
- 98.Celestial Storm: Sheet model and assumptions
- 99.Dragon Majesty: Sheet model and assumptions
- 100.Lost Thunder: Sheet model and assumptions
- 101.Team Up: Sheet model and assumptions
- 102.Detective Pikachu: Sheet model and assumptions
- 103.Unbroken Bonds: Sheet model and assumptions
- 104.Unified Minds: Sheet model and assumptions
- 105.Cosmic Eclipse: Sheet model and assumptions
- 106.Sword & Shield: Sheet model and assumptions
- 107.30th Celebration: Opening study and assumptions
- 108.Ascended Heroes: Opening study and assumptions
- 109.Astral Radiance: Opening study and assumptions
- 110.White Flare: Pooled model and assumptions
- 111.Chaos Rising: Opening study and assumptions
- 112.Crown Zenith: Opening study and assumptions
- 113.Destined Rivals: Opening study and assumptions
- 114.Evolving Skies: Opening study and assumptions
- 115.Journey Together: Opening study and assumptions
- 116.Lost Origin: Opening study and assumptions
- 117.Mega Evolution: Opening study and assumptions
- 118.Obsidian Flames: Opening study and assumptions
- 119.Paldea Evolved: Opening study and assumptions
- 120.Paldean Fates: Opening study and assumptions
- 121.Paradox Rift: Opening study and assumptions
- 122.Perfect Order: Opening study and assumptions
- 123.Phantasmal Flames: Opening study and assumptions
- 124.Pitch Black: Opening study and assumptions
- 125.Prismatic Evolutions: Opening study and assumptions
- 126.151: Opening study and assumptions
- 127.Scarlet & Violet: Opening study and assumptions
- 128.Silver Tempest: Opening study and assumptions
- 129.Stellar Crown: Opening study and assumptions
- 130.Surging Sparks: Opening study and assumptions
- 131.Temporal Forces: Opening study and assumptions
- 132.Twilight Masquerade: Opening study and assumptions
- 133.Champion's Path: Opening study and assumptions
- 134.Chilling Reign: Opening model and assumptions
- 135.Brilliant Stars: Observed sample and assumptions
- 136.Pokémon GO: Observed sample and assumptions
- 137.Celebrations: Observed sample and assumptions
- 138.Vivid Voltage: Observed sample and assumptions
- 139.Shining Fates: Opening study and assumptions
- 140.Battle Styles: Opening study and assumptions
- 141.Fusion Strike: Opening study and assumptions
- 142.Shrouded Fable: Opening model and assumptions
17. Frequently asked questions
Which Pokémon packs give the best chase chance for my budget?
Use the budget comparison to rank the modeled chance of one exact card within your budget, counting whole packs and preserving the exact printing. It shows the raw single guide value for comparison. The order depends on dated pack prices and uncertain pull estimates; overlapping intervals can change the ranking. This is not a full-pack expected resale value or profit ranking, and a guide value is not an available purchase offer.
Does this cover all Pokémon packs worldwide?
It covers every English physical expansion and special set in the cited catalog through October 3, 2026, plus individual POP and McDonald’s releases and a promotional-family appendix. Japanese history is included, but a complete Japanese, regional-language, wrapper-art, and retailer-product inventory is outside this directory.
Are Pokémon pull rates official or guaranteed?
The estimates come from opening studies by TCGplayer and Cardzard, small observed samples, independently collected breaker data, and set-specific community sheet reconstructions. Each source type, sample, and assumption is labeled. They are not manufacturer guarantees, and cannot be transferred to another language, set, or pack format.
Why are some prices and promotional chase odds unknown?
A complete set list does not establish every price or pull probability. Chase estimates now cover every expansion in this guide, but promotional odds, missing prices, and unobserved RGB or BWR cards remain unknown when the evidence cannot support a number. Zero observed copies does not mean a zero chance.
Does one in 960 mean I will pull Pikachu after 960 packs?
No. It is rounded source shorthand for an estimated average rate. Each eligible pack remains a chance. The calculator uses the published percentage and shows the probability of at least one card, including the possibility of pulling none.
Are the directory prices current selling prices?
They are current CollectAIO USD catalog guides with separate price-source and sold-check dates. A TCGplayer market guide or asking-price guide does not establish a completed sale. Refreshing listings does not guarantee a supported price. Follow the exact item link to check current evidence, edition, condition, shipping, and taxes.
Are Shiny Vault and Trainer Gallery separate booster packs?
They are subsets opened through their parent expansion packs. Hidden Fates Shiny Vault, Shining Fates Shiny Vault, the four Sword & Shield Trainer Galleries, and Crown Zenith Galarian Gallery are not counted as additional retail expansions.
Can I use these estimates to calculate guaranteed profit?
No. A pull probability is not a profit estimate. A full expected-value model would need all possible outcomes and realistic card values, condition, fees, shipping, and liquidity. The calculator only models a chance at an exact card or defined rarity.
How are vintage Pokémon chase odds calculated?
A labeled sheet model multiplies the eligible sheet’s pack insertion rate by the target’s copies divided by the number of sheet positions. Repeated cards can have different probabilities even within one rarity. If the exact count is unresolved, this guide displays a model range. These are community reconstructions, not official manufacturer odds or confidence intervals.



























































































































































